How our analysis works

Explained in 6 steps:

  • 1 1
  • 2 2
  • 3 3
  • 4 4
  • 5 5
  • 6 6

Without our method

the EuroStoxx 600 Index shown here looks like this.
Simply a price trend.

What are candle displays?

The price performance of securities tradable on the stock exchange (e.g. ETFs and shares) is shown in so-called candlestick charts.

Each candle represents a unit of time. For example, a day. The candles are lined up in the chart according to their price position and thus produce the price trend.


If the candle is green, the closing price (in our example after one hour of trading) is higher than its start. A higher price level than at the beginning of the measured hour.

If it is red, the closing price is lower than the starting price.

Now we place our formulas over the course.

The basic idea

Our method is based on the further development of the so-called Elliott Wave Theory, which was created by Ralf Nelson Elliott in the 1930s.

– The reasons for trading lie in the psychology of investors and not in events or (stock market) news.

– Investors’ actions leave patterns in the price charts.

– These patterns are based on mathematical relationships.

– Like all other natural events, they can be explained using mathematics.

– Our calculation of price movements and our forecasts are based on this.

And derive the most likely upcoming movement from this.

The blue arrows indicate the expected direction and movement of prices.

We put the individual price movements into mathematical ratios and use them to calculate target prices.

The colored boxes

The red boxes

indicate an expected turning point in the price on the upside. For us, this area describes an opportunity to sell or partially sell in order to realize profits. Depending on the individual case, however, it may also make sense to hold the position.

The purple boxes

indicate an expected turning point for the price on the downside. For us, this area describes an opportunity to buy.
This is a so-called bottom, as the price is likely to rise from there over a long period of time.
For us, these are the perfect buying regions for long-term investments.

Alternative route

For each situation in which we now find ourselves, we work out two paths that we believe the course can take with the highest probability.

In our example, the alternative route is shown in dashed arrows and labeled “alt.”.

Arrows and lines

The dotted arrows

show the alternative route (alt.) that the course will take if our first forecast no longer applies.

The purple circles indicate significant turning points on the alternative route. They are analogous to the red or purple boxes (see above).

The horizontal lines

indicate important price levels in the chart. For example, resistances above which the price must rise or supports below which it should no longer fall.

We combine both routes in one figure in our analyses.

We show the direction of the main trend at the top left of the image. In our example, we assume that prices will initially rise.

Wedges

The wedge upwards in the purple circle

symbolizes a rising main trend
This symbol can be found at the top left of the chart

The downward wedge in the red circle

symbolizes a falling main trend
This symbol can be found at the top left of the chart

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